N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 October, 2024 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MILTON is currently located near 22.7 N 87.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 145 kts (167 mph). MILTON is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MILTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 117 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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