Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

Time		Position		Strength		Wind Probabilities		Wind Model
GMT	Lead	Lat	Long	Peak Wind	Cat	TS	Cat 1 or Above	Wind Field
28 Aug, 9:00	0 hrs	25.4 N	87.4 W	125 kts	4	Click Here	Click Here	Click Here

Time		Position		Strength		Wind Probabilities		Wind Model
GMT	Lead	Lat	Long	Peak Wind	Cat	TS	Cat 1 or Above	Wind Field
28 Aug, 18:00	9 hrs	26.3 N	88.4 W	130 kts	4	To 9 hrs	To 9 hrs	Click Here
29 Aug, 6:00	21 hrs	28.0 N	89.4 W	135 kts	4	To 21 hrs	To 21 hrs	Click Here
29 Aug, 18:00	33 hrs	30.0 N	89.8 W	125 kts	4	To 33 hrs	To 33 hrs	Click Here
30 Aug, 6:00	45 hrs	32.3 N	89.3 W	65 kts	1	To 45 hrs	To 45 hrs	Click Here
31 Aug, 6:00	69 hrs	37.5 N	86.0 W	35 kts	TS	To 69 hrs	To 69 hrs	N/A
1 Sep, 6:00	93 hrs	42.0 N	79.0 W	30 kts	TD	To 93 hrs	To 93 hrs	N/A
2 Sep, 6:00	117 hrs	47.0 N	70.0 W	25 kts	TD	To 117 hrs	To 117 hrs	N/A

Forecast lead times used by TSR are referenced to the current data time. These lead times differ from those used by the US National Hurricane Center which are referenced to the current data time minus 3 hours.

Current Update	28 Aug, 2005 9:00	Prior Wind Affected Areas	TS and Cat 1 Winds

Storm Tracker

Storm Alerts

Wind Probabilities
Prior Affected Area

Current
To 9 hours lead
To 21 hours lead
To 33 hours lead
To 45 hours lead
To 69 hours lead
To 93 hours lead
To 117 hours lead

Current
To 9 hours lead
To 21 hours lead
To 33 hours lead
To 45 hours lead
To 69 hours lead
To 93 hours lead
To 117 hours lead

0 hours lead
9 hours lead
21 hours lead
33 hours lead
45 hours lead

0 hours lead
9 hours lead
21 hours lead
33 hours lead
45 hours lead
69 hours lead
93 hours lead
117 hours lead

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Researched and Developed by Mark Saunders and Frank Roberts
TSR Version 4.0 Copyright © 2007 UCL University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT
Last updated on 17 Jan, 2007 12:00 GMT