Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

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Super Cyclonic Storm MOCHA: Probability of Cat 1 or above winds to 36 hours lead

Storm Tracker Map

Current Satellite Images
Region	Image Type
Atlantic	IR	Visible
Atlantic	WV	IR En
NE Pacific	IR	Visible
NW Pacific	IR	WV
Indian Ocean	IR	Visible
W Australia	IR	WV
E Australia	IR	WV
SW Pacific	IR	WV

Probability Scale
Chance of Happening	Value		Chance of Happening	Value
Extremely Low	10%		Medium-High	60%
Very Low	20%		High	70%
Low	30%		Very High	80%
Medium-Low	40%		Extremely High	90%
Medium	50%		Certain	100%

Note that all probabilities refer to the occurrence of 1-min sustained wind speeds.

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MOCHA main page

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Wind Probabilities
Prior Affected Area

Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities

Current
To 12 hours lead
To 24 hours lead
To 36 hours lead

Cat 1 or Above Wind Probabilities

Current
To 12 hours lead
To 24 hours lead
To 36 hours lead

Wind Fields

Point Zooms

0 hours lead
12 hours lead
24 hours lead
36 hours lead

Prior Wind Affected Areas

Researched and Developed by Mark Saunders, Frank Roberts and Adam Lea
TSR Version 4.1 Copyright © 2023 UCL University College London, UK
Last updated on 14 May, 2023 7:43 GMT

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