Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

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Hurricane JAVIER: Probability of tropical storm winds to 45 hours lead

Storm Tracker Map

Current Satellite Images
Region	Image Type
Atlantic	IR	Visible
Atlantic	WV	IR En
NE Pacific	IR	Visible
NW Pacific	IR	W Vapour
Indian Ocean	IR	Visible
W Australia	IR	W Vapour
E Australia	IR	W Vapour
S Pacific	IR	W Vapour

Probability Scale
Chance of Happening	Value		Chance of Happening	Value
Extremely Low	10%		Medium-High	60%
Very Low	20%		High	70%
Low	30%		Very High	80%
Medium-Low	40%		Extremely High	90%
Medium	50%		Certain	100%

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JAVIER main page

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Storm Alerts and Seasonal Forecasts

Documents

Wind Probabilities
Prior Affected Area

Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities

Current
To 9 hours lead
To 21 hours lead
To 33 hours lead
To 45 hours lead
To 69 hours lead
To 93 hours lead
To 117 hours lead

Cat 1 or Above Wind Probabilities

Current
To 9 hours lead
To 21 hours lead
To 33 hours lead
To 45 hours lead
To 69 hours lead
To 93 hours lead
To 117 hours lead

Wind Fields

0 hours lead
9 hours lead
21 hours lead
33 hours lead
45 hours lead
69 hours lead

Point Zooms

0 hours lead
9 hours lead
21 hours lead
33 hours lead
45 hours lead
69 hours lead
93 hours lead
117 hours lead

Prior Wind Affected Areas

Researched and Developed by Mark Saunders, Frank Roberts and Adam Lea
TSR Version 4.1 Copyright © 2022 UCL University College London, UK
Last updated on 16 Feb, 2022 12:00 GMT

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